Type S/M Calibrator

Design assumptions

Specify hypothetical future-study precision, a selected-claim rule, and candidate true effects. No sample-size or inverse-precision solver is included.

Effect and precision

Effect measure

Precision input

Current working-scale SE

Null value

Information multiplier

Changes hypothetical SE only: 4× information halves the SE.

Selected-claim rule

Rule

Alpha

Assumed true effects

Scenario values

Comma-separated natural-scale values. The null is always added and duplicates are removed on the working scale.

Observed estimate (optional)

Used only for the separate observed-exaggeration panel and an explicitly optimistic/circular scenario. It does not set precision or truth.

Reference thresholds (optional)

Comma-separated display markers that are also evaluated as scenarios. These are distinct from an active claim threshold.

Advanced display controls

Plausible true-effect minimum

Plausible true-effect maximum

Grid points

Forward operating characteristics

Precision

Selected rule

Plot key: dotted black vertical line = null; dash-dot gray = reference threshold; orange dashed = active claim threshold; open markers = retained scenarios. Line pattern and marker shape reinforce color differences. Horizontal 1× and 2× lines are visual guides only.

Panel D is omitted because no observed estimate was supplied.

Scenario values; all rows condition on the listed value being the true effect
Scenario / source note	Assumed true effect	Delta vs null (SE)	Selected-claim probability (%)	Type S among selected (%)	Type M (x-fold)	Observed exaggeration (x-fold)	Expected selected \|Z\|

Copyable reviewer/scenario text

Scenario

Generated text

Interpretation notes

Run the calibration to populate fixed panels A–C, the scenario table, reviewer text, and exports. Panel D appears only when an observed estimate is supplied.