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Keep the conditioning straight

Tool comparison

Tool Question Conditions on X-axis means Core outputs Assumed truth? Selection rule? Primary limitation

One distinction prevents many errors

Observed reconstruction is not assumed truth

Observed-data conditioning

Compatibility and relative-likelihood displays ask how candidate effect values relate to one reported estimate and confidence interval under a Wald reconstruction.

Design conditioning

Detectability, Type S/M, and precision planning ask what repeated future statistics would do if specified effects were true under a chosen claim rule.